Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Unión La Calera vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
ULC
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
ULC
1 - 0
UNI
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
ULC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
NUB
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IQU
1 - 0
ULC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
COL
2 - 4
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 2
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
PEÑ
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |