Union Berlin U19 vs Holstein Kiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
2º
10
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
2 - 1
BAK
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
UBE
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
UBE
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
HAN
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WOL
6 - 0
UBE
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 3
WOL
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
VIK
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BON
0 - 5
HOL
11%
14%
75%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 6
WBR
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PAU
2 - 1
HOL
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |