Union Berlin U19 vs 1. FC Magdeburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
2º
18
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
UBE
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
HOL
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
2 - 1
BAK
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
UBE
72%
16%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
UBE
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Magdeburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
9 - 0
HOL
47%
22%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
FCM
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 4
HAM
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
5 - 3
FCM
74%
15%
12%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CZJ
3 - 2
FCM
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |