Union Berlin II vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LOK
0 - 2
UNI
35%
26%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
BAB
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
MAG
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
VIK
1 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUE
1 - 2
GER
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAK
1 - 1
AUE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AUE
1 - 0
ZWI
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
AUE
3 - 1
MEU
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
1 - 1
AUE
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |