Union Berlin II vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GER
1 - 1
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
OPT
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LOK
0 - 5
UNI
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
NEU
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
MAG
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUE
0 - 0
BAK
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CZJ
5 - 3
AUE
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AUE
1 - 1
ZWI
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ENE
1 - 1
AUE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AUE
3 - 4
RBL
9%
20%
71%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | -1 |