UA Trujillo vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
UCV
1 - 1
TRU
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
TRU
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TRU
3 - 2
HER
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CDS
2 - 1
TRU
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
UCL
1 - 1
TRU
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 1
UCL
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
4 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |