UA Trujillo vs SD Centro Ítalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ZUL
2 - 1
TRU
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRU
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRU
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TRU
1 - 0
UCL
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 2
UCV
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SD Centro Ítalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 2
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 1
GAS
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 1
UCV
61%
21%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
UCV
1 - 2
ITA
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
ZUL
2 - 2
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |