Falcon vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
PDB
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 1
FAL
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 1
TIT
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 0
ZAM
39%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
7 - 0
POL
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PDB
1 - 2
ZAM
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
FRO
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |