Falcon vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 3
ZUL
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
YAR
2 - 0
FAL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 2
ULA
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
FAL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 0
ANG
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 3
YAR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GVA
2 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ZAM
4 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 2
MET
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |