Falcon vs Yaracuyanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
URE
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FAL
4 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
FAL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
FAL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
YAR
2 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 2
YAR
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DIA
1 - 3
YAR
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
YAR
3 - 0
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
YAR
3 - 2
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |