Falcon vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
FAL
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FAL
4 - 4
URE
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
FAL
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 1
ATL
33%
23%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 1
FAL
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ULA
3 - 2
TIT
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ULA
0 - 0
ZUL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
ULA
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ULA
2 - 1
URE
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ULA
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |