Falcon vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
FAL
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 2
URE
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
LLA
5 - 1
FAL
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 0
FAL
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ULA
1 - 1
TIT
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
ULA
5 - 0
ZUL
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
ULA
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ULA
3 - 0
URE
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 0
ULA
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |