Falcon vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GVA
4 - 2
FAL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 0
FAL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FAL
3 - 0
MIN
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
FAL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
UCV
2 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ANG
3 - 0
UCV
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 2
MET
25%
26%
50%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 2
GVA
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
UCV
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |