Falcon vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TIT
6 - 2
FAL
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
FAL
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 1
ZAM
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
FAL
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
PDB
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
ATL
12%
20%
67%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
7 - 0
POL
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
FAL
11%
20%
69%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 0
POL
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
PDB
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |