Falcon vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TIT
1 - 5
FAL
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FAL
5 - 0
ZAM
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
PDB
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 1
FAL
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 1
TIT
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
ATL
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
7 - 0
POL
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -5 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
PDB
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 0
POL
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |