Falcon vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
URE
2 - 1
FAL
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
FAL
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
URE
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
ATL
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
POL
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
URE
2 - 1
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |