Falcon vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
FAL
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 0
URE
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 1
ULA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CDS
0 - 1
FAL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 2
LOT
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POL
0 - 2
ULA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CDS
2 - 0
POL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
LOT
54%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GVA
0 - 0
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
POL
3 - 2
ZAM
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |