Falcon vs Margarita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 1
FAL
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
DIA
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
YAR
4 - 1
FAL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
POL
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
URE
2 - 1
FAL
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Margarita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
ESC
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DIA
1 - 3
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
YAR
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |