Falcon vs Guatire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 0
FAL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FAL
3 - 0
MIN
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
FAL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
FAL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 1
GVA
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
UCV
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GVA
0 - 0
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |