Falcon vs Inter De Barinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
URE
3 - 0
FAL
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
LLA
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
FAL
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 3
YAR
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FRO
3 - 0
FAL
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inter De Barinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
TIT
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ULA
1 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 0
BAR
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 4
URE
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 3
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |