Falcon vs Carabobo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
4 - 3
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 3
ZUL
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
YAR
2 - 0
FAL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 2
ULA
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
FAL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ATL
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |