Falcon vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
3 - 4
UCV
47%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ZUL
0 - 2
FAL
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
APC
1 - 0
FAL
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
ZUL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 1
YAR
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
2 - 0
ARR
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
UCV
4 - 2
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
TUC
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
APC
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 0
UCV
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |