Falcon vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 0
MET
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 0
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 0
FAL
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
UCV
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GVA
4 - 2
FAL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
ANG
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 1
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
GVA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |