Falcon vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
FAL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
UCV
4 - 0
FAL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
4 - 1
YAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
FAL
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAL
5 - 1
YAR
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
APC
0 - 1
UCV
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
YAR
0 - 0
APC
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
APC
3 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
APC
0 - 1
GVA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 0
APC
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |