Falcon vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 0
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 0
ZAM
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GVA
3 - 3
FAL
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 1
FAL
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 0
ARR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
APC
5 - 0
ARR
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UCV
3 - 1
APC
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
APC
2 - 1
GVA
73%
19%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 1
APC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
APC
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |