Arzignano Valchiampo vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
71.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 1
UAR
39%
23%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UAR
1 - 2
UPR
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 2
UAR
23%
22%
56%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UAR
1 - 1
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 2
UAR
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
NAP
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |