Arzignano Valchiampo vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 0
UAR
59%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UAR
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CNO
2 - 3
UAR
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UAR
3 - 0
TAM
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
UAR
1 - 0
AVI
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
UNI
80%
12%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ACE
1 - 0
MES
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
ECL
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LEG
0 - 1
MES
18%
23%
60%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |