Union de Aravaca vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TCF
1 - 4
UAR
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UAR
4 - 2
ALP
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RSR
0 - 1
UAR
36%
24%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
PAS
3 - 0
UAR
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
UAR
3 - 3
RSR
69%
16%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 1
CPO
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ACM
1 - 4
SLO
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SLO
1 - 3
LCB
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 0
RTM
18%
18%
64%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PDM
2 - 2
SLO
59%
19%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |