Union de Aravaca vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BOA
2 - 1
UAR
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UAR
2 - 1
CPO
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ROZ
3 - 0
UAR
38%
23%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UAR
1 - 2
CER
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ACM
0 - 5
UAR
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EES
0 - 3
SLO
55%
21%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 2
BOA
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CPO
1 - 0
SLO
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 1
ROZ
23%
21%
56%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CER
2 - 2
SLO
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |