Union de Aravaca vs Nuevo Boadilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
UAR
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UAR
1 - 2
EPA
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FTC
1 - 3
UAR
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nuevo Boadilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NBO
1 - 1
SLO
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 1
NBO
30%
23%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NBO
0 - 1
CPO
69%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |