Union de Aravaca vs Gimnastica Colmenarejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
UAR
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UAR
4 - 0
ARB
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
UAR
38%
21%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
UAR
1 - 5
AMS
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 1
UAR
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnastica Colmenarejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GDC
2 - 3
ALP
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 3
GDC
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GDC
1 - 1
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CPO
5 - 3
GDC
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GDC
0 - 2
EFM
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |