Union de Aravaca vs Fomento Alumni CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HMA
3 - 1
UAR
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UAR
0 - 0
VIL
52%
21%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
UAR
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UAR
1 - 4
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NBO
3 - 1
UAR
32%
22%
47%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FOM
0 - 2
FTC
26%
22%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FOM
1 - 2
SPB
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HMA
1 - 2
FOM
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FOM
0 - 2
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOM
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |