Union de Aravaca vs Villanueva de La Cañada A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
UAR
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UAR
1 - 4
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NBO
3 - 1
UAR
32%
22%
47%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UAR
0 - 2
PDM
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
UAR
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Villanueva de La Cañada A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
FTC
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FOM
0 - 2
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
6 - 2
HMA
32%
23%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPB
18%
19%
62%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
VPB
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |