Union de Aravaca vs Agrupacion Lucero Linces B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BPI
0 - 1
UAR
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UAR
0 - 0
GAL
50%
21%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UAR
4 - 2
SPB
35%
21%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 1
UAR
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UAR
3 - 2
FOM
69%
16%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Agrupacion Lucero Linces B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AGR
2 - 2
FTC
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FOM
1 - 1
AGR
63%
20%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AGR
1 - 2
HMA
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
6 - 1
AGR
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGR
1 - 3
CAR
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |