Unión Adarve vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
17º
14º
33
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Adarve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GET
2 - 0
ADA
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ADA
1 - 2
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
ADA
71%
20%
9%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 0
VAL
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ADA
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
SSR
10%
22%
68%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CPC
3 - 0
CDM
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
CDM
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
CDM
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
CDT
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |