Uniao Tomar vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
14º
25
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
COI
2 - 1
UFT
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
ALE
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POM
1 - 1
UFT
20%
20%
61%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UFT
2 - 3
ADP
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UFT
0 - 3
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCA
84%
12%
5%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
VIT
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 2
COR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |