Uniao Tomar vs União de Coimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
14º
38
1º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
UFT
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAB
4 - 2
UFT
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UFT
0 - 1
GDF
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
UFT
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
UFT
23%
20%
57%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
COI
1 - 2
FCA
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
USA
2 - 1
COI
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
COI
1 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
COI
1 - 1
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
COI
12%
20%
68%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | -1 |