Uniao Tomar vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
14º
32
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
UFT
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
UFT
23%
20%
57%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UFT
0 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UFT
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
FCA
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
GDF
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
USA
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
COI
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | +1 |