União São João vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MOG
1 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
LON
1 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
UNI
3 - 2
SPO
19%
26%
56%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
REM
3 - 2
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 3
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
AME
1 - 2
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |