União São João vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
UNI
0 - 1
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
PAR
2 - 1
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
PAL
5 - 1
UNI
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
NAU
0 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
NAU
1 - 1
SCI
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1994 |
NAU
0 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
SCI
5 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1994 |
PAR
1 - 1
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
NAU
0 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |