Copa Paulista Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
União São João vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ECN
0 - 1
UNI
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
ECN
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 2
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VOC
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |