União São João vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 3
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
COM
66%
19%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |