União São João vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
COM
1 - 3
UNI
35%
24%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
OES
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 0
FER
36%
24%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MOG
4 - 0
SAO
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
MOG
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MOG
1 - 2
BOT
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MOG
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 3
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |