União São João vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
VFC
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
5 - 1
OSV
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 2
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 4
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |