União São João vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 2
BRA
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
PAU
5 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 1
AVA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 3
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
LON
1 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
LON
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
XVD
1 - 2
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 0
AME
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
4 - 1
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
6 - 0
BOT
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |