União São João vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 3
UNI
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
COM
0 - 1
UNI
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
UNI
3 - 1
FRA
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 0
INT
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
BSP
1 - 1
UNI
41%
24%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
BSP
1 - 2
INT
10%
17%
74%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
FRA
0 - 0
BSP
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
BSP
1 - 0
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
BSP
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
BSP
1 - 1
UNI
41%
24%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |