União Santiago vs Monte Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
OGR
0 - 0
USA
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
USA
5 - 0
ARR
87%
10%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHC
2 - 3
USA
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
AMO
9%
16%
75%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | +6 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SES
0 - 1
USA
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 0
BMA
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
MCA
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 3
ALF
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 3
OGR
51%
22%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
MCA
17%
20%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |