União Santarém vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
USA
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
IDE
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
USA
82%
13%
6%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
USA
1 - 4
PRA
6%
16%
79%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
USA
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
VIT
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |