União Santarém vs UD Rio Maior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
11º
2º
6
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
USA
32%
27%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
1DE
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
USA
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
UDA
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
USA
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Rio Maior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UDR
1 - 1
BEN
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 1
UDR
39%
22%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
UDR
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDR
0 - 2
1DE
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
UDR
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |