União Santarém vs União da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
11º
2º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
USA
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
ALC
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
USA
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
PER
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 1
BEN
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDR
1 - 2
UDA
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 2
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
1DE
2 - 0
UDA
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 0
MOR
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |